Is it worth waiting for Kawhi Leonard?-EnglishHindiBlogs-SportsNews

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Kawhi Leonard is still recovering from a torn ACL that caused him to miss the entire 2021-22 season. He has played in only five of the Clippers’ first 18 games this season, averaging only 22.4 mpg in three starts and two appearances off the bench.

The stated goal entering the season was for Leonard to work at a one-minute range of around 20 MPG, then slowly ramp up to normal minutes as his health and airspeed improved. Unfortunately, after game two his knee started to hurt and he had to sit out for almost a month.

Now, he’s back, and again playing in the low-20s in terms of MPG in the starting lineup as he resumes planning to work in shape.

Question for fantasy basketball managers who have rostered on Leonard and held on through the first month – will it be worth the wait? If you stay put until it’s back at full speed, what should you expect from it?

Let’s project forward with a quick review of the past.

Kawhi missed 73 games during the 2017–18 season after tearing his quadriceps tendon, consistent with his injury the previous season. When Kawhi returned, these were his averages for the next three seasons:

26.2 PPG (49.1 FG%, 87.4 FT%), 7.0 RPG, 4.4 APG, 2.0 3PG< 1.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 2.2 TO/G

Per-game averages are strong. He will translate to 47.2 fantasy points per game, which currently ranks 14th in the NBA this season behind Pascal Siakam (48.4 FP/G) and just ahead of LeBron James (46.2 FP/G), Ja Morant (45.9 FP/G) Will be in place. g) and Devin Booker (45.3 fps/g).

Looking at those numbers and those names, it’s clear that a healthy Leonard is a franchise player in both the NBA and fantasy basketball. In a league where I drafted Leonard, my friend Kyle called Kawhi “a potential league winner” as a third round pick…and why those numbers/names.

Everyone would be opposed to that type of reversal, right?

Why then, when recently asked about the fantasy draft pick I most regret this season, did I say go with that same third-round pick of Kawhi?

some reason. First, there’s the cost of Leonard being unavailable for the first month of the season. The war room league where I rostered him is a daily transaction H2H points league, and we have played five games so far. My team, which I share with my co-manager Stefania, is 0-5…the worst team I’ve ever played in all of my league.

But, let’s take a closer look.

In week 3, our team lost a squeaker by 40 fantasy points (1,218 – 1,178) with Leonard not playing a game. In week 5, our team lost by 15 fantasy points (1,151-1,136) with Leonard playing part time.

There were other games where a healthy Kawhi would have made us competitive enough to get us a win or two, but at the very least a below-average Kawhi would have been good for two extra wins and right in the mix. One month into the league. Instead, that team is already in a state of crisis.

So, yes, when I look at what my one Kawhi team has been so far, and what it could have been, I regret passing on players like Donovan Mitchell in that league… until now. But, the premise of this article is that once he’s completely under his feet, what can we expect from the poet going forward? So, let’s go back to his per-game averages for the past three seasons, but add one more important line:

26.2 PPG (49.1 FG%, 87.4 FT%), 7.0 RPG, 4.4 APG, 2.0 3PG< 1.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 2.2 TO/G...

…and 19 missed games per season (out of 75.3 games per season, due to COVID-19 schedule changes)

See, even if Leonard was as healthy as he could be over the last three seasons, he still missed roughly one out of every four games. Much of this was due to load management, as he had planned not to play both halves of the back-to-back except on scheduled load management days.

It seems highly likely that, even if he is fully up to speed this season, he will continue to carry that play-off-games momentum.

If you have Leonard on your team, and you’re in a league with weekly roster management transactions, that translates to a purely 75% rate for him. While 47.2 FP/G would rank 14th in the NBA, 75% of 47.2 FP – or 35.4 FP – would tie Andrew Wiggins for 50th in the NBA. Still an impressive figure, but not as exciting as waiting for a Morant/Booker-sized impact.

In a daily transaction league, Leonard is more valuable than that, because in theory you can have other players on your roster to substitute in the few games he misses. Not all of them… For example, if he misses a short NBA day, you probably can’t replace him that day.

But, if it’s a busy schedule, like several Mondays, Wednesdays or Fridays, you can replace Kawhi’s 47ish fantasy points with a player capable of giving you 25 or 30 fantasy points. Still not ideal, but probably closer to 88% Kawi instead of 75%… or about 41.5 fp/g on average.

This would put him 25th in the league, tied with Fred VanVleet, just behind Bradley Beal and just ahead of Domantas Sabonis. They’re still very exciting names, and have a huge fanciful impact. But…remember, Kawhi’s absence may cost your team many wins in a season where every win counts.

In those scenarios, is even VanVleet’s size impact enough to get your team back in the running for the final playoffs? Your Mileage May Vary.

Bottom line, if you drafted and landed Kawhi Leonard on your fantasy basketball team, you’ve already paid some serious equity and the potential payoff of actually rostering one of the best players in the NBA. are looking for.

Just keep in mind that even if his per-game stats are more than elite, he’s likely to miss one out of every four games going forward, even if he’s at as close to full health as possible. There is also the risk of re-injury to consider.

So, my advice is to wait and hope he gets into full-kawi mode in the near future. If and when he does, enjoy it and make as big a deal about it with your fellow league mates as possible.

Only, don’t style it like you’re trying to business her. Instead, play it off like you’re talking trash. If you win a close match with a Kawhi big play or two to put your team on top, talk to your opponent about how talented you were while he recovered from his injury.

Do this every time he drops a 40-point game or hits a game-winning shot that tops the SportsCenter Top 10. Put the poet’s name in there in the most positive vein. Then, as soon as you’re able to quietly negotiate a deal for his healthy 47.2 FP/G average as opposed to his 75% rate, trade him immediately.

That’s what I would have done… you know, if I wasn’t saying it in public where all 13 of my ESPN-planned War Room league mates could read it.